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2024-12-14 07:38:02

Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.Enterprise IT Expenditure Survey: Google Cloud is expected to be the first choice for 50% of the respondents. Tae Kim, a science and technology columnist, wrote that according to a recent survey, Google Cloud has risen rapidly in the enterprise AI expenditure competition and may become the winner. According to the 2025 CIO survey released by Piper Sandler, 81 CIOs were asked about their budget priorities in different suppliers and technical fields. According to the survey, 87% of CIOs surveyed expect to increase the IT budget in 2025, which is the highest proportion of the survey since 2020. In this survey, the status of Google Cloud has risen significantly, surpassing Microsoft and OpenAI to become the "most strategic" AI supplier, with a support rate of 27%, a significant increase from 15% six months ago. Relatively speaking, Microsoft's support rate dropped from 33% to 24%. When asked which cloud company they plan to use to test or implement AI projects next year, 50% of the respondents chose Google Cloud, making it the top AI infrastructure provider. In addition, Harsh Kumar, a Piper semiconductor analyst, pointed out that these results are also beneficial to Invista, because all cloud companies are the main buyers of AI chips in NVIDIA. Kumar estimates that the entire AI chip market will have more than $500 billion in business opportunities by 2028.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.


The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, warning that economic growth will slow down. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3%, and warned that economic growth will be weaker than its previous forecast. This is the fourth time that the European Central Bank has cut interest rates since June, bringing the benchmark interest rate to its lowest level since March 2023. At the same time, the European Central Bank warned that the euro zone economy will only grow by 1.1% in 2025, lower than its forecast of 1.3% in September. It was widely expected that the European Central Bank would cut interest rates. Investors expect that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates more than the Federal Reserve next year, because it is widely expected that the economic growth of the euro zone will lag behind that of the United States. The euro zone's export-dependent economy is also vulnerable to Trump's threat to impose tariffs of up to 20% on all American imports.China Seismological Network officially determined that a magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at 13: 40 on December 12 in Baqing County, Naqu City, Tibet (32.28 degrees north latitude and 93.83 degrees east longitude) with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.Bank of America Securities lowered the Adobe target price from $640.00 to $605.00.


The Baltic dry bulk freight index fell 4.61% to 1055 points.ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing, ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing. However, because monetary policy is still restrictive and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to the credit stock, financing conditions are still tightening. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.Japanese government bond futures rose, recovering some of the earlier declines.

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